In my PMP
Workshops many times project managers share the challenges they have in
completely understanding the term TCPI (To complete Performance Index). Often
most of the project managers find the concept complex and difficult to apply in
a real time scenario. In this article I have attempted to make it simple. Before
going into details first let's understand what TCPI is and how it is related to
CPI (Cost Performance Index)
To-Complete
Performance Index (TCPI) is the estimate of cost performance required for the project
to meet the project’s budget goal. In simple words TCPI is the Cost efficiency
at which you need to run the project in order to be within the budget.
The two important points to be interpreted
from this definition are;
• If the CPI of your project is equal to or
more than one, which means your project is moving within the budge. In this
situation you can complete the project within approved budget; i.e. BAC.
• If the CPI of your project is less than one,
which means your project is overshooting the budget. In this situation if the
BAC seems unachievable the project manager should negotiate a new budget with
the senior management .The new budget will be EAC and now your objective should
be to try to complete the project within this new approved budget.
How would you derive the formula for
computing TCPI?
Based on the above two points the formula for
To-Complete Performance Index (TCPI) will be;
TCPI = (Work Remaining)/(Budget Remaining)
If you’re under budget
• TCPI = (BAC–EV)/(BAC–AC)
If you’re
over Budget
• TCPI = (BAC–EV)/(EAC–AC)
• If To-Complete Performance Index (TCPI) is
less than one, then your project is in good shape.
• If To-Complete Performance Index (TCPI) is
greater than one, then you’ve to perform with better cost performance efficiency
than the efficiency at which the work that has been completed.
• And finally
if TCPI is equal to one then it’s OK even if you continue to work with same
cost performance efficiency.
Example:
You have a
project to be completed in 12 months and your BAC is $100,000. Three months
have been passed and $40,000 is spent but while tracking you found that only 25
% of work is completed so far. As a project manager you know that you can’t
improve CPI beyond 1.1.
Based on the
above situation do you think it is possible to complete the project in the
available budget or you have to re-negotiate with for a revised budget?
You can discuss it with me at pankajsh10@yahoo.com